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  Surveying the landscape at large and adopting a calmer view of the broader outlook, considering everything that has unfolded in swift succession over the last several years, the disputes, distortions, worldwide frictions, assumed supply shortages, genuine supply shortages, and all that is certain to persist within and surrounding the metals arena ahead. I believe it is quite reasonable to conclude that at this stage, silver exists in an entirely different setting. that is plainly visible on price graphs. Yet price

levels themselves are not precisely what I intend to emphasize today. What I believe merits attention is silver's correlation between various price tiers and time. To avoid making this sound like a complex physics formula, to state it plainly, much of silver's recent price conduct is unlike anything we have previously witnessed, and there have been multiple instances lately where it failed to make much logical sense. So today, without delay, we're going to examine the unusual case of silver's

ongoing bull market. And although the genuine fundamentals underlying silver's present and future valuation consistently remain intact, the price movement we may observe over the coming several months might not align exactly with our preferences. Let's dive in. Let me begin this video by clarifying that none of this constitutes financial guidance. Conduct your own analysis. arrive at the strongest conclusions you can based on what you uncover. I've been somewhat disconnected for a few days. I

believe I haven't posted in over a week at this stage. The flu is no small matter, but we're back. Even though the FOMO driving silver's physical demand has probably eased significantly by now, silver and gold stacking are more widespread than ever with charts illustrating a meteoric rise and fresh record highs being achieved daily for multiple straight months. The surge in silver stackings appeal is entirely understandable. But what truly matters here is how much of that enthusiasm will

endure once momentum slows. And this is merely an educated assumption on my part, but I am convinced that coin shops and coin expose will experience noticeably greater visitor traffic not only throughout the next several months, but permanently. Popularity is influential, yet it is fleeting. While popularity brings stacking into the spotlight, relevance is what sustains it. And as the world transitions toward a paperless, coinless, digital, illusion-driven economy, tangible stores of value and wealth such as silver and

gold will maintain their significance in a far greater capacity. Moving ahead, the principles of value remain consistent and the stacking strategy is unchanged, but this time there are considerably more participants and additional friends continue to join. So, the argument for silver's physical demand at the retail tier remains firm. I'm certain you've all heard about the record-breaking sales figures many bullion retailers are handling after each significant price pullback. And if that trend persists and the silver spot

price experiences multiple substantial declines and the average price gradually decreases over time, if the purchasing pattern and cadence of the retail public stays as steady as what we have observed in recent weeks, I believe considerable weight will accumulate within personal stacks across the globe. Overall confidence in every existing financial framework is weakening and consequently I believe physical settlement of silver at the expiration of futures contracts will become far more frequent. That is

what we are already witnessing across Asia and once physical settlement becomes considerably more standard I believe it will result in a much more transparent spot price. So at the fundamental layer in practical terms in the tangible world the acknowledgement and adoption of silver's authentic value is progressing appropriately in the moment silver spot price separate from the paper market is approaching steadily in my view but naturally we can hope for improved conditions endlessly. Eventually we must address the present.

Right now silver is engaged in an intensely volatile struggle. Price fluctuations of $5 or more are occurring within single trading sessions. The power of momentum in either direction appears to have diminished. Silver can plunge nearly 10% within half a trading session, signaling a market collapse and then rebound and recover its losses within the next three sessions or possibly even sooner. Then just the spot appears to regain traction toward the mid to upper 80s. price movement reverses and drags the metal back into

the 70s. Ordinarily, I would label this extreme day-to-day volatility. Yet, silver currently trades $40 beneath its record high. Present spot prices do not seem as contentious or as hazardous as the volatility would imply, and observing spot undergo a sudden $6 drop on Thursday, February 12th, only reinforces my speculation. Now having said that I recognize that 6 months ago silver was trading at half this level. It was nowhere close to the mid70s and it remains astonishing to witness how rapidly it reached its current

valuation. But even so the periods of risk and intense speculation were above $100 and we are nowhere near that at this time. Naturally is satisfying to rationalize matters that we deeply value. Yet at this moment, this market appears entirely susceptible to its short-term surroundings. Only weeks and months ago, silver was absorbing CME margin hikes effortlessly. But now, here in midFebruary, it has become somewhat harder to determine where price may head at any given moment. And it would be incomplete not to acknowledge that we

are unlikely to receive additional interest rate reductions until July. The upcoming FOMC meeting is scheduled for March 17th and 18th, and I doubt Powell will make borrowing less expensive than it already is, particularly considering that his tenure as federal chairman concludes in May. So, while I believe the silver bull market has not concluded just yet, the probability of no rate reductions until summer can certainly dampen fresh price discovery. And there truly is a significant convergence of

numerous factors that I believe will render silver's price conduct rather unclear for the next couple of months. The Shanghai Gold Exchange remains closed and will not resume operations until February 24th due to the Chinese New Year. Not only does this generate a liquidity gap with trading volumes significantly diminished, it also temporarily separates silver's eastern pricing from Western pricing. and Tom will reveal whether the CME uses this window to pressure prices lower. Geopolitical frictions continue

escalating in the Middle East. Reserve management acquisitions continue at roughly 20 billion per month. And of course, all the precious metals fundamentals we recognize and appreciate remain everpresent. But at present, the simplest explanation I can offer purely from a personal observation standpoint is that the price behavior we are witnessing in silver right now struggling to maintain any specific price level before moving higher or lower is simply the residual effect of an overextended and fatigued market.

That is not to imply that I do not believe silver is worth more than $121 per ounce. Ultimately, I believe it is. But as I've stated in prior videos, it is not about the price itself. It is about how swiftly and in what fashion new record highs materialize initially. And that is the kind of market I believe we are observing now. I think we are witnessing a residual phase. And I believe it will require some time for a short to midterm price structure to rebuild itself once more. In any case, I

believe silver in the 70s represents value and that this bull market will recommence before year end, especially beyond this summer. My outlook is that rate reductions will become far more frequent beginning in July of 2026, and the volume of United States dollars being liquidated beneath us as a method to bolster GDP expansion, manufacturing, and the equity market will rise as well. But at this moment conditions are somewhat unclear. Remain cautious out there. Continue stacking. Yes, valued viewers. Now I will share today's

developments in the economy and precious metals. Precious metals today. Gold and silver price action. Gold and silver prices are extremely volatile today with a mixed picture globally. International gold prices rebounded after a short slump with spot gold climbing back above $4,900 per ounce and silver recovering toward $1.75$1.76 on strong buying interest after touching lows earlier in the session. Investors are positioning ahead of key US Federal Reserve minutes and inflation data that could influence monetary policy

expectations. Meanwhile, other reports show precious metals sliding on weak demand and a stronger US dollar with some markets seeing gold futures fall sharply below $5,000 per ounce and silver slipping toward the low dollar.70s amid thin liquidity and geopolitical developments. In live trading updates, gold futures on major exchanges rebounded strongly after recent losses and silver futures posted notable gains, highlighting the day's rangebound volatility as investors digest macro signals and geopolitical

cues. Key drivers boosting today's price swings. Federal Reserve policy signals. Traders are awaiting the release of the Fed's meeting minutes and forthcoming inflation data, especially the PCE index, which will shape expectations for future rate cuts and liquidity conditions. Us Iran diplomatic talks easing tensions in Geneva have weighed on safe haven demand as risk sentiment improves, but uncertainty still keeps gold and silver in focus as hedges. Dollar strength and liquidity. A firmer US dollar and

reduced trading liquidity during regional holidays have pressured bullion prices at times, contributing to sharp intraday moves. Overall, gold and silver remain in a high volatility regime, oscillating between short-term sell-offs and rebound rallies as global markets react to macro data and geopolitical developments. US and global economic context, US economic data and Fed outlook. Markets are tightly focused on the US Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes and upcoming inflation prints,

particularly the core personal consumption expenditures, PC index. Investors are expecting clues on the timing and scale of potential rate cuts this year, which would directly impact gold and silver price trends. US Treasury yields and dollar strength remain key variables driving crossasset positioning. A stronger dollar tends to weigh on commodities priced in dollars, including gold and silver. Global risk sentiment and geopolitics. Ongoing diplomatic engagement between the US and Iran has softened some safe haven flows.

Though geopolitical uncertainty persists given tensions in the Middle East and uneasy peace dynamics globally. Structural concerns like fiscal deficits, rising sovereign debt burdens and uneven growth across major economies are supporting periodic interest in precious metals as portfolio hedges. Industrial and investment demand signals. Despite today's price swings, longerterm investment narratives, including strong physical demand and diversification flows, continue to underpin gold and silver's appeal in

uncertain markets, especially among institutional holders. Market sentiment and trading strategy implications. Precious metals positioning. Short-term traders are navigating wide intraday price ranges with heightened volatility, reacting to macro data and news flow. Medium-term strategies should remain datadriven, especially focusing on inflation trends, Fed policy shifts, and currency dynamics before establishing large directional positions in gold or silver. Risk management. Volatility suggests protective strategies for

leverage positions such as range trading or hedged exposures rather than aggressive trend bets until Fed signals become clearer. Safe haven interest could spike again if macro surprises or geopolitical escalations occur, potentially triggering bullish breaks above recent resistance levels. Summary: Gold and silver prices are fluctuating sharply today amid a tugofwar between broader macroeconomic signals. US monetary policy expectations, diplomatic developments, and currency strength. Traders and investors should watch key

data releases, Fed minutes, and geopolitical news closely as they will shape precious metals direction in both the short and medium-term. If your priority right now is not chasing returns, but protecting what took decades to build, I've put together a private road map linked below. If your priority right now is not chasing returns, but protecting what took decades to build, I've put together a private road map linked below. Oh.