gold news

  What I'm about to present to you very well could be the most realistic forecast for gold and silver to the upside that I have ever reviewed on this channel, not only for the coming years, but also for this year in 2026. Let's break it down as we dive in. We have all heard the bull projections that some analysts have released. And of course, we can simply brush those aside. And honestly, regardless of how much data and research and technical evaluation stand behind some of these forecasts, we


should still treat them in a sense with caution. No one truly knows. In fact, I produce a forecast video every year where I allow myself plenty of flexibility for the coming years, and I have been correct more often than incorrect, but only marginally. But that is just chance at work. However, when you have a situation like this from this institution, they carry a bit more credibility. Gold and silver are in a once- in a generation bull cycle right now. According to Neil's Christensen over at Kicko News, and one portfolio


manager cautions that even though they are on course to reach $10,000 for gold, yes, that's right, $10,000 for gold and $300 an ounce for silver in the next few years, investors should brace themselves for a turbulent journey. That's right. Yeah. You know, I'm going to bring out the volatility gauge. It is activated right now because we are in unstable times during this bull cycle. And I do believe we are still in it without question. But it has been fairly unstable recently. In fact, it has been


more unstable than I expected over the past week or so. But that is what we are observing here. And up to this point, they have been accurate as we have seen silver hit that all-time high and gold reach its all-time high. That's what we have been observing on the way up and on the way down. AUG Funds has released its 2026 outlook and the analysts state they anticipate gold prices to surge decisively above $6,000 an ounce this year in 2026 and silver to climb to $133 an ounce, which would bring the gold to


silver ratio back to last month's multi-year low at below 45. That's right, volatility. That's when you capitalize on price movements in a direction that benefits you. Yes, I know some of the bullion dealers have had their premiums continue rising or remain elevated comparatively, but nevertheless, this is a scenario we're seeing unfold. And this is compelling as we watch gold and silver shift and remain at very elevated levels now, yet still volatile. This outlook arrives as gold prices touched a peak near $5,600


an ounce last month in January and then swiftly declined 20%. Yep, that was a near crash for gold. After testing support near $4,400 an ounce, gold has been able to regain some equilibrium around the $5,000 an ounce zone. So, that has been quite encouraging for gold to hold there. It is a far more stable store of value I believe than even silver. Of course, we have been observing that for some time now. Now, this firm AU AG funds is a Swedish investment company. They stated that in a bull cycle, investors should


anticipate 20% to 30% fluctuations in price. And up to now, we have witnessed that. Silver also climbed to a high of $121 an ounce and dropped nearly 40%. During its major correction, we saw that occur twice, and it did not decline quite as much as it did the first time. But currently, we are trading within a range around the 70s and low 80s at this moment. But these are frequently coordinated pullbacks, they explain, that take place when markets become excessively overheated. Large short positions are deployed to push prices


lower. Speculators are forced out and weak hands begin liquidating. The buyers are often the same participants who triggered the drop. The so-called strong hands searching for appealing entry points for the next phase of the bull cycle according to the analyst. Now consider that if it is coordinated buying and selling that resembles manipulation to me. They are essentially acknowledging it here. But again, I do believe much of it is tied to emotion steering the market. And despite the anticipated volatility, analysts at AU


AG funds identify a powerful set of structural forces supporting the outlook for gold and silver. They pointed out that global debt continues to grow. Now, think about this. We have debt here in the United States of over $ 38.5 trillion in the US and with derivatives is significantly higher than that in the United States. But worldwide global debt keeps expanding. It now approaches $350 trillion. This is a worldwide issue which is why when you consider assets denominated in these dollars, we should


look beyond that. And yes, we are discussing price here. Price matters. Obviously, the dollar and other currencies are what we use to transact. That is the most liquid form of money. Though it is unsound across the entire globe because of this $350 trillion debt, which is one of the reasons I'm a strong advocate of holding firmly. Hold firmly to your silver. This is why this round was created because when you hold your silver, you possess wealth outside the system. It is empowering and it requires time and pressure and you grip


it tightly and that is the essence of having diamond fists. Absolutely. Now despite the anticipated volatility, the analysts observe a powerful collection of structural forces shaping the outlook and that is where this comes into play. Not only that, but also the reality that central banks continue to retain and purchase gold rather than sell. And because of the structural deficits we have been witnessing in silver, silver is a dual commodity serving both as an industrial resource and a monetary


metal. We are seeing that dynamic unfold clearly here. The analysts have also stated that it is only a matter of time before global debt is monetized with central banks led by the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates while simultaneously initiating new quantitative easing programs to suppress long-term yields. We are seeing elements of that develop right now with the M2 money supply continuing to expand which exerts significant inflationary pressure. They stated that gold remains an appealing alternative global currency


as trust in the US dollar steadily weakens alongside ongoing currency debasement. With aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus occurring together and bond markets becoming increasingly complex to navigate, AU AG contends that capital rotation into gold is intensifying given the metal's high return potential, low correlation to equities and absence of counterparty risk. That is why in my forecast for this year, I've said that gold would not experience as severe decline over the long term as silver would. In fact, I


may still be mistaken. I believe the low for gold will be $3,700 an ounce for this year, but who knows? It may never fall below $4,000 again. We simply do not know. However, it is more resilient to market shifts than silver is for understandable reasons. Over the long term, gold reacts to the quantity of fiat currency units being created beyond genuine economic growth. It is crucial to stress that real growth is not identical to reported GDP figures as modern GDP calculations incorporate substantial unproductive spending


categories as growth namely government spending. That is one of the reasons our numbers were lower because of the government spending that was impacted during the government shutdown that influenced the GDP. Countries are producing more currency while generating less real output per unit of debt. This dynamic is exactly why gold continues to climb at an accelerating rate. And again, they emphasize over the long term. Meanwhile, they argue that silver has considerably greater upside as prices could still double in the present


environment. That's right, double from where they are right now. AUAG funds highlighted that alongside its role as a monetary metal, silver will receive strong fundamental backing as an industrial metal. After several years of supply deficits compared to demand, the market is nearing a situation that could materially influence price formation. A physical shortage has the capacity to double the price of silver within a very short time frame. Now recognizing that supply shortages are essentially tied to


supply chain disruptions within that network rather than a total shortage, I do believe there is a structural deficit. But if all the silver were gathered and fully recycled, there would not be an overall shortage in general. There is a substantial amount of silver above ground. It is simply a matter of consolidating it. Refineries are where much of the bottleneck exists right now. Demand for silver is also highly inelastic. Regardless of how much the price rises, it is extremely unlikely there will be any significant reduction


in usage. In other words, as I have mentioned many times before, silver demand is in a sense recession resistant and in many cases recession proof. That is because silver's properties are irreplaceable and partly because silver typically represents only a small fraction of the total cost of finished goods. Exactly right. And by the way, materials like graphine are not going to substitute it anytime soon. Aluminum, copper, very unlikely to replace it anytime soon. Alongside exposure to the raw commodity, the investment firm sees


strong opportunity in mining equities. And I have discussed that before in a broad sense for the mining sector, especially with established mining companies like Heckla and First Majestic and others. That is where attention is focused. They have experienced a decline recently, but I believe overall they're going to perform quite well in this upcoming market as we continue to maneuver through it. Nevertheless, truly compelling. Volatility is dominant. It is what is unfolding here. That is what


they are anticipating. This is what we should be monitoring. It is going to be a turbulent ride, it seems. And I recently produced a video about silver becoming boring, returning to boring. Boring in the sense that it is trading within a range now. But that range is fairly broad. So it has become a relatively exciting market for silver. Yes, valued viewers. Now I will share today's developments in the economy and precious metals. Here's the most accurate up-to-date summary of US and global economic news with a primary


focus on gold, silver, markets, and macroeconomic signals that will rank well in 2026 YouTube SEO and keep viewers engaged and informed. Chart increasing precious metals, gold, and silver prices today. Gold and silver are climbing as of today's trading session. Gold futures surged above $5,150 per ounce, hitting a 3-week high as investors bought safe haven assets amid market uncertainty, especially around US trade policy and geopolitical risks. Silver prices also rose with gains near or above 2 to 3% alongside gold,


signaling stronger riskoff demand. These moves reflect flight to safety behavior from global investors. ETF flows confirm strong demand. Gold and silver exchange traded funds have seen significant inflows up to around 17% gains in some ETFs as traders move capital into precious metals as hedges against risk. Live price ticks from precious metals markets show gold around $5,148 to $5,150 per Oz and silver near $86.30 30 to $8660 per Oz in current spot trading with platinum, palladium and roodium also


actively reacting to broader market volatility. Brain why gold and silver are rising. Several key drivers are influencing precious metals prices right now. Push pin one US trade policy and tariff uncertainty. Recent legal and policy shifts in US trade policy have sparked uncertainty. A US Supreme Court ruling struck down earlier tariff policies, leading to market turbulence. The US administration announced a new global 15% tariff regime, increasing fears of trade retaliation and slower global growth. These developments


weakened the dollar and pushed investors into gold and silver as safe haven assets. Push pin two, dollar weakness. A softer US dollar makes dollarpric gold and silver more attractive to global buyers, fueling further upward pressure on prices. Push pin three, inflation and interest rate expectations. Recent inflation data in the US showed persistent price increases, cooling expectations for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. When interest rates stay elevated longer, gold often benefits as a store of value. Push bin


four geopolitical tensions escalating tensions particularly around U.S. do Iran negotiations act as catalysts for safe haven demand in gold and silver markets chart decreasing mixed market signals. While precious metals have rallied on safe haven demand, broader markets are showing mixed reactions. Wall Street and European stock futures dipped, reflecting caution tied to tariff and trade risks. Global equities are jittery as investors weigh earnings reports and macro data. Some recent economic data like US GDP growth slowing


in Q4 compared to preceding quarters adds nuance. Markets are balancing between resilient growth signals and risk aversion propaganda. Bar chart sector highlights. Mining stocks saw notable moves. For example, a major US mining company reported a strong runway of gold and silver resource increases, lifting its stocks sharply before moderating. Bond yields remain sensitive to macro shifts, implying that any shifts in Fed policy could rapidly swing both risk assets and precious metals. Analyst commentary has underscored how


bond yield dynamics influence gold price action. Crystal ball what this means for investors today. Gold and silver remain pivotal hedges in the current environment. Heavy check mark. If trade policy uncertainty persists, metals may continue rising. Heavy check mark. If inflation signals remain sticky, store of value demand will stay elevated. Heavy check mark. If the dollar stabilizes and rate cuts loom later in the year, price volatility could persist. Investors are watching central bank commentary, inflation updates,


tariff decisions, and geopolitical developments as catalysts that will likely define markets over the next few weeks. If your priority right now is not chasing returns, but protecting what took decades to build, I've put together a private road map linked below. If your priority right now is not chasing returns, but protecting what took decades to build, I've put together a private road map linked below. Oh.


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