Today Gold news 127

I thought there was a chance we we could get the 70 and silver this year as we talked about last time, but heck, we're we might get the 80. >> You're watching Silver News Daily. Subscribe for more. >> Silver just crossed $77. Headlines are screaming about $100 silver and everyone scrambling to buy before they miss the rocket. But according to Bubba Trading's Todd Horwitz, this isn't a rocket. It's a firework and it's about to explode. He's not mincing words either. This isn't just a pullback. It's a blood bath. Bubba's calling it a 15 to 20% crash is imminent and silver could freef fall to $65 before anyone has time to react. He's calling this rally ridiculous, unsustainable, and driven by a monster FOMO chase that's pushing silver into a classic parabolic blowoff top. And history agrees. When silver rallies like this, the fallout is never gentle. It's brutal. So before you jump into the hype, ask yourself this. Are you buying at the beginning of a bull market or the final peak before panic hits? Stay with me because what you're about to hear might save your portfolio from the biggest silver collapse in over a decade. >> You know, you know, I mean, full disclosure, I've been looking for a big sell-off for the last over a year. Okay. Now, we just finished or we're going to finish our third year in a row of double-digit gains. Uh double-digit gains, four years in a row has only happened once before in history. Uh I'm looking for a pretty nasty sell-off. I think that we've really trapped ourselves, you know, between the credit card companies extending debt into 2027, you know, because, you know, people are spending like crazy because they say, "Well, I'll be able to pay it by then." And they won't be able to pay it. Uh, I think the talk of 50-year mortgages, I think the debt that the government is creating, I think that the interest rate cuts, I think those are all negative to the overall market. You may think it's positive today, but the bigger picture, those are very negative events that are happening. They're only creating more debt for the consumer. And all the the Fed is trying to do and the government who was not supposed to be part of the Fed, but they've managed to weasle their way in. They're trying to control their debt payment. Well, we have massive amounts of debt in this country and it's not slowing down, which is why inflation won't come down. We have the very real possibility of a market that goes into stagflation, which is the worst of all of them. Okay? And if we do that, you'll be back to looking at the Jimmy Carter era of, you know, interest rates to 15, 16, 17%. I mean, this is, you've got hyperinflation going on. I don't know that we can get hyperinflation here, but you have a lot of issues throughout the globe that are signaling there's a lot of problems, and we continue to hide from the problems because everybody keeps reporting how good things are going, but when you have a K-shaped economy, only 10% of the population is really benefiting from what's going on. Todd Bubba Horwitz isn't some fringe analyst shouting into the void. He's a veteran trader with decades of experience across commodities. And when he speaks, people pay attention. His warning about a violent pullback isn't based on blind fear. It's grounded in pattern recognition, market psychology, and price action that looks eerily familiar. According to Bubba, silver is in what traders call a blowoff top. A classic formation where price surges vertically, fueled not by fundamentals, but by emotion, primarily greed and fear of missing out. He describes the current rally as extremely overbought. And he's not alone. Indicators are flashing red across the board. RSI is off the charts, momentum is parabolic, and volume is spiking without the kind of consolidation that healthy trends require. But here's the kicker. Bubba's $65 target isn't random. It lines up almost perfectly with the last major consolidation zone from October before the speculative short squeeze sets silver ablaze. He believes that once this inflated move loses steam, and it always does, the price will collapse right back to that level. And when it does, the speed and scale of that drop could shock even seasoned investors. This isn't about long-term fundamentals. Bubba still believes in silver's future. But right now, he's not buying the hype. He's selling into it. >> Country or a society that's full of debt and you have high inflation. It's going to make the metal propel the metals higher. You have a now a monster chase of a what I would think is uh FOMO, the fear of missing out chasing these medals higher now for all the people that said, "Well, they'll they'll come back. I'll get a chance." And they're running. and and you know it's uh I thought there was a chance we we could get to 70 and silver this year as we talked about last time but heck we're we might get to 80 before the year is over. Uh I mean this is not if you are a trader this is not a buying opportunity. This is more of a selling opportunity. If you're an investor you have to be willing to scale in and and be prepared for some sort of a selloff. I mean as we know markets don't go straight parabolic like they're going right now. I mean look at platinum. Platinum is up, you know, over the year over 100%, but in the last week it's up another 30%. So, it's been really ridiculous at these these moves. But, you know, when you have these central banks buying and you have high debt, high government debt and you have high inflation, there's one place to go and that is the metals and that's what we're seeing. >> Just before we get going, we just launched the official Silver News Daily Telegram. To kick things off, we're running a 10oz silver giveaway. Yes, real physical silver, not a voucher, not digital credits, actual bullion. This Telegram will be our new home for real-time silver discussions, market insights, collection picks, and everything precious metals. It's where the community truly comes alive. Here's how to enter the 10oz silver giveaway. Be subscribed to Silver News Daily on YouTube. Turn on the notification bell, comment 10O giveaway on three separate videos. Be an active member of the Telegram group, and say hi. Once we hit 500 active Telegram members will pick one lucky winner to receive 10 ounces of silver shipped directly to you. So get in early, stay active. A parabolic move is the market's version of a sugar high. Intense, unsustainable, and inevitably followed by a crash. And silver's current trajectory fits the pattern perfectly. Just look at the chart. Since late October, the price has gone vertical, rising over 150% year-to- date and smashing through the resistance levels like they don't exist. That kind of move might feel like momentum, but to seasoned traders, it's a glaring warning sign. Every historical silver bubble, from the infamous 1980 Hunt Brothers spike to the 2011 rally that took silver near $50, has followed this exact blueprint. A slow grind higher, a sudden vertical launch, and then the moment of truth, the top. Once the price loses its footing, panic sets in, stops get triggered, leveraged positions unwind, and what was once euphoria turns into chaos. Bubba sees the same setup unfolding now. Silver at $77 isn't a healthy trend. It's an exhaustion point. And parabolic tops don't correct gently. They collapse violently. It's not just the speed of the rise that's concerning. It's the lack of support underneath. When price moves this fast, it skips building real floors. And when it turns around, it falls straight through the air pockets it left behind. That's why Bubba's warning isn't sensationalism. It's the same alarm bell that's rung before every major silver crash in the last 50 years. >> Well, I mean, look, I think the those who have benefited, you know, have either taken some profit or again are prepared for it. And of course, they're not those who are preparing are not just oneoff only into equities. I mean, you know, for me, for example, I'm long equities. I've been long equities, and I'm I'm hedged. I'm using derivatives to hedge against against what I think is going to happen, but I'm still benefiting from the upside. Um, I I think that, you know, anybody who's in the market who's not dramatically overleveraged is prepared for exactly what I'm talking about. They know it's coming and either they're liquidating some stuff now or they're going to be willing to weather the storm because again the greatest single investment in history has been the US equity market. It has it has an increase of 8 and a half% year-over-year since since inception. So I think that you know people are looking they're move some are moving to metals. We can see that now. Some are moving to cash some are you know crypto hasn't been too good but some will move to crypto. There's a whole spread, but at the end it will be ugly for everybody because nobody will be fully prepared who put their head in the sand, which is most investors put their head in the sand anyways. And you know it'll it'll happen and those that will panic will help fuel the sell off. Those that remain calm will be buying those who are panicking and say, "Okay, fine. I knew this was coming. I saw it coming in 2008 and I'll be a buyer, okay, when they start collapsing." And I think that's really what you have to look at. I don't think there's anywhere else to go. I mean, I think real estate's going to collapse. I mean, you're already seeing some pretty big warning signs when the builders that are overbuilt are offering half a half price on mortgage rates right now. You know, true mortgage rates are, let's say, 6 and a half%. I mean, in Las Vegas, you can get a mortgage rate uh as as low as 4 a.5%. Okay? Because they're overbuilt. So, they're stuck with inventory. What's going to happen? Who's going to be the buyer of all integ? >> Right now, silver isn't being bought. It's being chased. This isn't calm calculated accumulation. It's full-blown FOMO mania. Everywhere you look, retail investors are piling in at the top, convinced that $100 silver is just days away. Social media is ablaze with silver hype. Influencers are fanning the flames. And the idea of a silver squeeze 2.0 is turning into a self-fulfilling prophecy. But here's the truth no one wants to hear. This kind of emotional buying is exactly what drives markets into blowoff territory. Bubba calls it the monster FOMO chase, and he's right. It's not just that silver's gone vertical. It's the psychology behind it that's dangerous. When everyone's a buyer and no one's thinking about risk, that's when the trap is set. The last time we saw silver behave like this was in April 2011. Silver had surged from $9 to nearly $50 in less than 3 years, with retail investors jumping in late, convinced the rally would never end. But when the music stopped, silver didn't just pull back. It collapsed, falling over 30% in just 2 weeks and never recovering those highs. That wasn't a correction. That was a reckoning. And Bubba sees that same retail euphoria now. Momentum traders flooding in, options volume exploding, and retail accounts buying into the top with zero margin for error. This isn't disciplined investing. It's gambling. And when the sentiment turns, it won't be a slow fade. It'll be a stampede for the exits. >> I think it's going a lot harder. Um, look, we're we're down. We've been stuck in a range now, 84,000 to, let's say, 92,000. It's had it sell off. It could have collapsed. I I think it's going to be a place that people will go. Again, it's the one nice thing about crypto. Whether you like it or not, whether you believe it or not, it's still a free market. It's the one true free market that we still have, okay? Because every other market is not necessarily free. you know, crypto trades 24 hours a day, seven days a week, okay? And there's no central bank controlling prices. So, I think that it'll be fine. Listen, I don't think it's going up tomorrow. I don't think it's chasing itself, but I think over in the long haul, it's becoming more adaptable. I think it's also becoming a stored asset, very much like gold and silver and and assets like that. Now, they aren't hard assets because again, they're kind of in the in the cloud somewhere, but I think that they're real and I think that they will be a big part of us of the >> So, what's actually fueling this rally? At first glance, it looks like a perfect storm of bullish catalysts. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates in 2026, the dollar's weakening, and geopolitical tensions from Venezuela to Nigeria are igniting safe haven demand across the board. On top of that, silver is in a structural supply deficit, has just been labeled a US critical mineral, and investor inflows are hitting levels not seen since the last major bull run. All of that sounds bullish, and it is. But here's the problem. The market has already priced it in. When silver surges over 150% in a single year, you're not reacting to news anymore. You're frontr running hope. Bubba's warning hinges on this exact point. Yes, the fundamentals are strong, but they've become the justification for latestage mania. People aren't buying because they've done a sober analysis. They're buying because prices are going up. The fundamentals might be the fuel, but FOMO is driving the car. And history shows that when sentiment runs this hot, even good news becomes a trap. Any whiff of profit taking, a minor dip in demand, or a hawkish surprise from the Fed could trigger a chain reaction. That's the nature of parabolic markets. They burn through their bullish thesis at hypers speed. And once that's gone, there's nothing left to support the price but blind optimism. And Bubba, he's not betting on hope. He's betting on gravity, >> too. Well, I I think if you're an investor, I think you should just forget about everything and just keep investing. I mean, again, I'm a big believer in that. I mean, you should learn how to hedge and use derivatives to hedge your equity portfolio if you're do so or your precious metals because you can hedge your precious metals, too. Uh I I don't think that you should do anything drastic uh right now. I again I don't expect anything crazy to happen soon. Uh I think that again it's it's really about not putting yourself in a position of too much leverage. Okay? Make sure you pay your bills. Make sure you pay your credit cards. Okay? Because you're never going to make the return in the stock market or in the gold market of the what you're giving up when you pay your interest on your credit card. So as long as your debt is under control, then you can invest and only invest with money that you can afford that if it goes against you that it's not going to be the house payment, the car payment, food on the table, whatever. And if you live by those rules, okay, then whatever happens in the market, any market will never bother you because you have enough to take care of your family. I think, you know, the jobs getting cut out, there's a lot of things going on that are not very good. So I and too many people have a a history and a tendency to overlever themselves and that >> there's another dangerous disconnect unfolding beneath the surface and that's the gap between physical silver and the frenzy in the paper markets. On one hand you've got ETFs, futures and speculative contracts driving prices to record highs. But on the other, the actual physical market is showing signs of strain. Vaults in London have seen inflows, but the bulk of readily available silver remains in New York, where inventories are thin and traders are sitting tight, waiting for regulatory clarity on the US Commerce Department's critical minerals probe. Bubba sees this as a warning, not a bullish tailwind. The speculative fire is being fueled by paper silver contracts that don't require physical delivery. And while those contracts can send prices skyhigh in the short term, they also make the market incredibly fragile. If sentiment flips, those same contracts can be liquidated in a heartbeat, dragging prices down with nothing to cushion the fall. Worse still, many of the people jumping in now don't understand the difference between owning physical metal and holding a leveraged position. They think they're safe because silver is going up. But what happens when the paper traders start dumping contracts and there's no physical buying to step in? The illusion of endless demand vanishes. That's the trap Bubba is warning about. The silver price you see on a screen is being driven by leveraged bets stacked on top of each other. And when those bets unwind, there's nothing holding the floor. >> Well, I mean, again, if you're an investor, you just, you know, either you sell and say, "Hey, I've made enough profit and I want to put the money elsewhere." Or you hold on to it and, you know, maybe even buy some. I mean, again, I can't tell you where the pullback's going to come from. It will come as it always does. Um, but we are off to the races with this this massive amount of buying that's coming in. And you're also getting don't remember you're getting a lot of buying into very thin markets as well. So again I could see a pullback in in platinum of you know 15 to 20% back to around 2100. Uh I could see silver which was just 60 bucks and is now 76. I could see that coming back down into the the the mid mid to high 60s without much of an issue. And that wouldn't make it a bearish move. That wouldn't mean that the move is over. These markets need to either consolidate and go sideways for a while to resolve this extremely overbought condition or they need to pull back. Either way, they're still pretty bullish and I still look for higher prices in the future. But uh in the near term, you know, let's say the next two months, I would not surprise me at all if we saw $65 silver in the next two months. It wouldn't surprise me at all if we saw $2,100 platinum in the next two months. And again, that does not make it negative. All that means is that you're seeing some natural market actions. I mean, the the pace and the speed at which we're going up is unsustainable. Okay? There's not enough money in the world to continue to fuel these markets like they like they are right now. So, there has to be a little either a panic cell or a final blowoff to the top. But at some point, >> timing is everything. And Bubba is not throwing darts when he says the collapse could come within 60 days. This isn't a vague forecast. It's a warning built on cold market behavior and technical exhaustion. Look at the timing of past blowoff tops. In both 1980 and 2011, the final parabolic leg lasted just weeks before the floor dropped out. And right now, silver's rally is following that same hypercompressed timeline. It's not just the vertical price action that's sounding alarms. It's the volatility under the surface. Daily moves of 5 to 7% are becoming common. A classic hallmark of an unstable market approaching climax. The relative strength index has been flashing overbought for days, and Ballinger bands are stretched so wide they're practically screaming collapse. But Bubba isn't just looking at charts. He's watching behavior. Thin year-end liquidity, options market distortion, and aggressive short-term positioning are all signs of a market that's out over its skis. And when the calendar flips to January, institutional flows return, and rate cut expectations get tested by reality, he believes that's when the reversal could hit. This isn't about guessing a top. It's about recognizing when the riskreward has flipped. And for Bubba, the moment to get out isn't next month. It's now. I I think the the blowoff top that I expect we'll get at some point. It will only be a temporary top. I don't believe that this rally is done with at all. I mean again from a trader standpoint you're always looking for reasons to buy an extended buy a market that's been extended to the downside or sell a market that's extended but overall the charts everything looks really good and this looks like it again it just should have some natural selling. We cannot continue to explode at these rates. Uh and again it the the the resolution could be a long period of consolidation. And remember, before we had this big move to the upside, we had an extended about a 2-year period of consolidation of going back and forth sideways. So, we could see that again. I mean, it doesn't mean they have to crumble. Uh, but certainly you would expect some pullback. But again, like I said, if you go back a year, I mean, you were stuck between 28 and 36 for forever, okay, in silver and platinum was on its way down. It was under a thousand. So, you know, again, these markets are will function like all markets do and at some point we'll see some pullback and then it'll be really how does the market act from that point forward. But certainly, I expect these markets to continue. I I would not at all be shocked to see, you know, 5,000 gold in the first half year, if not higher. I wouldn't be surprised to see $80 silver uh in the first half of the year, first quarter. Uh, and I wouldn't I mean it looks like platinum has finally found its footing. Everyone forgets that at one time platinum was double gold. Now it's half. So, you know, it wouldn't be surprised me as we watch these ratios if it catches up. So, again, I'm very bullish the metals, but I'm not running in with new money today to be a buyer. Right now, I'm looking as a tra from my trading perspective, I'm looking for a spot. To the average investor, Bubba's $65 price target might sound extreme, especially with silver brushing $77 and headlines talking about $100 just around the corner. But let's zoom out. A drop to $65 isn't a crash. It's a retracement to the last major support level where silver consolidated before this explosive move began. From a technical perspective, that kind of pullback is not only possible, it's healthy. The problem is most of the people buying silver today aren't prepared for a healthy correction. They've been chasing momentum, convinced this rally will never end. And if silver drops 15 to 20%, many of them will panic sell at the worst possible moment, locking in losses they never expected. Bubba's trying to get ahead of that pain. He's not shorting silver out of spite. He's sidest stepping what he believes is an inevitable flush. And here's the truth most won't admit, even in bull markets. Corrections this deep are normal. In fact, they're necessary to shake out weak hands and reset sentiment. So, no, $65 isn't the end of the world for silver. But if you bought in at $75 thinking $100 was guaranteed, that drop is going to feel like a disaster. Bubba isn't warning about the long-term future of silver. He's warning about the emotional roller coaster waiting for anyone who thought this was a straight line up. >> Well, I I I think cheap is a relative term. Okay. in in in perspective to money itself, I think the precious metals are fairly priced. I mean, if you if you go back and do just some simple math, you go back to 1985, the average income was 25,000. The average home was 75,000. Today, the average income is 70,000. The average home is over 500,000. So, it was three times your what your your yearly income. Now, it's seven. So, if you do the multiplication of seven times, that puts you about somewhere where we are. So we are I think in I don't think they're expensive. I think they're priced with the market. Okay. And you know again they're a little extended here but from a pure dollar and cents I don't think they're much extended at all. In fact if you take what the value of the dollar is right now versus the price of gold if you did them the inverse math you'd find out that it's probably pretty fairly priced. You know when I first started trading Elijah in the Dow the Dow and Jones Industrials when I first started was 800. Okay that was in 1980. Now it's 50,000. So again, is it worth 50,000? Is it is it true or is it fairly priced compared to what the actual currency and everything else is worth? And I don't think that the average consumer is doing well. So I would have to say that things are fairly priced right now and the the high inflation that we have is we just can't keep up with is why the metals continue to push higher. >> Whether silver crashes to $65 or just cools off temporarily, Bubba's warning cuts through the noise. This market is overheating and the signs are everywhere. Parabolic rallies don't end with polite corrections. They end with violent reversals. And right now, silver's surge is looking less like a sustainable trend and more like a blowoff top in real time. FOMO has replaced fundamentals. Leveraged paper bets have outpaced physical supply. And retail traders are pouring in just as experienced hands are cashing out. Bubba isn't saying silver is dead. Far from it. But he is saying this isn't the time to be greedy. It's the time to be cautious. Because when everyone's rushing in, the smartest move might be to step aside. If you found this breakdown useful, make sure to subscribe so you don't miss what's coming next in the precious metals market. And remember, this is not financial advice. Always speak to a qualified professional before making investment decisions.