Gold news

 so I'm basing this whole forecast on the fact that the FED is going to be wrong econom is not as strong as they think it is they're going to be cutting more than just the 50 basis points they're expecting that combined with this ongoing Central Bank demand and what else is coming at us this year Elijah I think makes for a pretty strong year for the precious you're watching silver News Daily subscribe for more what if I told you that 2025 could be the year gold and silver make history with prices soaring

beyond anything we've seen before sounds far fetched right but Craig hm a leading expert in Precious Metals says it's not only possible it's probable stay tuned as we unravel wise central banks a faltering dollar and seismic shifts in global markets could ignite a gold and silver explosion you don't want to miss this see where we go I keep an eye one last thing I that I wanted to mention and I just didn't seem to work it in another headline that was buried back in December was the People's Bank of China

coming out and publicly pronouncing that they're going to have a moderately loose monetary policy this year that the last time they had a mon moderately lose monetary policy they publicly announced was 2010 so we know what was happening in 2010 111 they then changed it to prudent and they they' publicly been saying prudent for 14 years since but they said moderately loose this is a pretty big deal too we're seeing it already just the last five days copper has turned the corner blasted higher broken its downtrend from

September moved above its 50-day moving average um this is another thing that's going to influence things too um yeah Chinese markets you know yield on their the Chinese 10e is collapsing all they may have bigger problems than that they may be trying to get ahead of it but if that money they're going to be cranking out you know the printer here in the US uh when the FED turns on the prin it all flows into stocks and Bitcoin and all this kind of stuff right well they don't do that so much in China I mean

there's a lot of speculation in Commodities remember the big blowout and spreads from the Shanghai exchange versus the comx back in in May that just forced the comx price higher anyway understand that part that part about China is an important thing for this year too we may already be seeing it in Copper keep an eye on copper as we go through this month and let's see if if that isn't a precursor to a rally in Sil in 2024 something extraordinary happened central banks around the world purchased

nearly 745 metric tons of gold marking one of the highest levels of annual demand in modern history why does this matter because this buying spree isn't just a one-off event it signals a deeper Trend that could shape the precious metals Market in 2025 and Beyond let's break this down central banks particularly those in Emerging Markets like China turkey and India have been aggressively diversifying their reserves away from the US dollar why because the Dollar's reliability is under threat due to ballooning us

deficits and geopolitical instability this has created a perfect storm for gold which is seen as a safer more stable store of value during times of uncertainty China alone resumed significant gold purchases in late 2024 reportedly acquiring over 15 metric tons in just November and December and these numbers might only scratch the surface as unofficial purchases could be 10 times higher than what's disclosed this steady demand underpins gold prices acting as a physical floor that prevents the price from dipping too

far even during Market Corrections now what about silver while gold often grabs a Spotlight silver is also writing this wave of demand it serves as both a monetary asset and an industrial metal giving it a Unique Edge industrial applications especially in Renewable Energy Technologies are surging but more on that in the next step for Now understand this silver to is becoming increasingly desirable to central banks as they expand their diversification strategies the big question is will this trend continue into

2025 all signs point to yes with global inflationary pressures nating debts and geopolitical uncertainties central banks are likely to keep buying gold and silver to hedge against currency devaluation and financial instability this consistent demand could set the stage for a spectacular year in the precious metals Market before we move forward what do you think is Central Bank buying enough to P gold and silver to new heights or are there other factors we should watch for drop your thoughts in the comments and don't

forget to subscribe to stay updated on these pivotal market trends yeah this you know I don't when I first started uh out of college I got I signed up at Payne Weber and and uh went through the series s training and got my stock I was a stock broker that's how old it is I actually call myself a stock broker right now you went your financial accounting executive or whatever they call it back then but I was a stock broker and you were a stock broker because you did the homework right I you'd sit there pour through value line

things you know and and look up Morning Star reports and and your own salside research that came out of your firm and you tried to find stocks that were going to do pretty well and you you know convince your clients to buy them that has all been now it's all just you know ETFs and manage money and rrap fees and passive investing well that has carried over to the mining sector right people are well I want to put some money in the mining sector I don't know anything about the mining sector so I'm just

going to buy the GDX well the problem with that is as I mentioned the GDX was only up 8% last year versus gold being up 26 why because and this is I mean it's worse than just these two but 20% of the GDX is new Mountain Barrack you know you know Newmont was down last year down baric was down 15% last year their share price Gold's up 25% and Barrett goes down 15 why because they can't control their cost so even as gold price is going up their costs are going up just as fast margins aren't increasing and people so if

you're you my point is passive investing is now all the way nobody wants to do their homework and do it be a stock picker and all that kind of stuff anymore right so they just passive investigate the GDX GDX underperforms and everybody says Ah to hell with it you know this sector is terrible well it's not really ago Eagle was up 60% or something last year because they do control their cost kin Ross was almost up 100% last year because they do control their cost so the point I tried to make in this year's macro cast was

not so much hey look at this chart at GDX and look at the 50-day move moving average and you know if we can just get to this level there should be some resistance FY if you're going to be in this sector again there are lots I you and I know lots of folks that this is all they dedicate their lives to is looking at the mining sector and they you know they have a subscription website to tell you what you know they they know what grams per ton over a length of you know drill hole and all that stuff they know what that stuff

means if you're going to be in the sector you're going to have to do some you can't even Stan drunen Miller Elijah what the greatest investors of all time when headlines show up the danan deren Miller is moving into gold he buys the GDX and he buys Newmont what come stand new newmont's the biggest dog in the in the in the dogghouse yeah like I said it was down last year so I anyway Mor of the story in the mining sector if you're gonna do this if you're going to there's profits

to be made and if Gold's going to 3100 am's probably going to have another great year you can do great and you can get leverage to the gold price but you're going to have to do some homework you just can't simply just say well buy me the GDX and see what happens one of the most significant factors poised to influence gold and silver prices in 2025 is the Federal Reserves monetary policy the FED has already signaled a potential shift with plans for two- rate Cuts totaling 50 basis points but here's the

twist many experts including Craig h believe the FED is underestimating just how much economic pain is coming why does this matter let's connect the dots lower interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold and silver more attractive to investors when borrowing costs drop holding gold and silver as a hedge against inflation becomes a far more accent option than chasing yields in bond or Equity markets now here's the kicker the fed's decision isn't just about managing inflation it's also about propping up a

fragile economy the US yield curve which tracks interest rates on short and long-term government bonds was inverted for nearly two years before it finally reverted in late 2024 historically this inversion reversion is a Surefire signal of impending recession every major US recession since 1980 has followed this exact pattern if a recession does hit the FED may be forced to cut rates much more aggressively than the current 50 basis points on the table some analysts predict cuts of up to 150 basis points

or even the Revival of quantitative ease in stabilized markets and stimulate growth if that happens it could be a GameChanger for precious metals driving gold well past its dollar 3000 Target and silver toward $140 or Beyond here's a real World example during the financial crisis of 2008 the FED slashed rates and rolled out unprecedented quantitative easing measures the result gold skyrocketed from about $1800 an ounce at the start of 2008 over1 1,200 by the end of 2009 silver followed suit climbing from do 11

to nearly do2 per ounce in the same period so as we enter 2025 the bit question isn't just whether the FED will cut rates it's how far they'll go will inflation a weakening economy and soaring deficits Force the fed's hands sooner than expected and how might these decisions Ripple through the precious metals Market what's your take could the fed's policies push gold and silver to record highs let us know in the comments and make sure to subscribe so you don't miss the next update well this is this

is a major part of that Central Bank bid and just general physical demand uh for gold just to Elijah this this came out um back in early December people are already starting to kind of look for Christmas and shut things down uh on the 8 what is eth or nth business day of every month the US Treasury puts out their monthly treasury statement so this was back on like December the 9th right uh the US fiscal year begins on October the 1st ends on September the 30th so the statement that came out on December

the whatever it was 9th or 10th was for the the month of November and cumulatively the first two months of the year month of November alone was $366 billion doar of deficit spending that used to be a national you know Calamity when it was 366 billion for a year and now it's a month for the first two months of the fiscal year 6 $ 24 billion in deficit spending so there seems to be look I want it fixed too right I wish it wasn't like but the problem is you can't wish it away and you can't just wish a fix and this this

optimism that somehow this Doge committee with musk and ramas Swami um which has no Congressional Authority let's say somehow vote to give it some but I I mean there's no line item veto that the president has so this optimism that somehow musk and vivc are going to trim you know 500 billion dollars off the deficit by you know waste cutting out waste all sounds great but in reality in practicality are they really going to do it let's just say you know let's just say they're able to cut it by $200

billion do or something one that's a you know sadly a drop in the bucket but two if we get into this economic scenario that I'm I think is coming well then economic activity slows tax receipts fall and the net net difference might be nothing you might cut spending by $300 billion but then have your government revenue by tax receipts Fall by 300 billion and you're still running $2 trillion doll deficit so you're talking about things that underpin the bid for gold okay that problem is not going away I mean it's

only you know getting worse what what the line item for interest on the national debt last year was 1.1 or something like that so that even though it doesn't always make headlines those numbers are the ones that just remind people that you know maybe I ought to diver like these central banks these central banks are taking their dollars and buying gold maybe I had to do some of that myself and that just again that keeps the dips being bought keeps the banks unable to just you know Smash It backward you know 500 bucks to get cover

some of their shorts and it keeps you know it keeps moving forward and the the uptrend we always seem to see in the comic two steps forward one step back two steps forward one step back and I suspect that's how a weakening US dollar and the Relentless rise in National deficits two powerful forces that could supercharge the prices of gold and silver in 20125 let's break down why these factors are so critical and how they create the perfect environment for a precious nals rally first let's talk about the US

dollar in 2024 the the dollar showed signs of strength but as we enter 2025 The Tide is turning the US national debt is now surpassed dollar 37 trillion up from Dollar 34 trillion just a year ago this massive debt load is eroding confidence in the dollar as the world's reserved currency historically when debt levels become unsustainable Nations often devalue their currency to keep their economies afloat and this is where gold and silver shine literally gold in particular is often seen as a hedge against currency

devaluation when the dollar weakens gold prices typically rise as investors look for a stable store of value in fact analysts expect the dollar to face significant downward pressure throughout 2025 creating a Tailwind for precious metals but the story doesn't end there the US government's fiscal situation is adding fuel to the fire deficit spending has spiraled out of control with the federal deficit adding a staggering dollar 624 billion in just the first two months of the 2025 fiscal year to put

that in perspective the monthly deficit in November 2024 alone was 1366 billion more than some country's entire annual GDP how does this impact precious metals it's simple the more money the government prints to fund its deficit the weaker the dollar becomes this Dynamic often leads to higher inflation further increasing demand for gold and silver as safe haven assets and let's not forget central banks AS Global confidence in the dollar wains these institutions are accelerating their

shift to gold and silver further cropping up prices the stakes are high if the US continues on its current fiscal path some experts believe the dollar could lose as much as 10-15% of its value by the end of 2025 meanwhile gold is expected to reach dollar 3,100 or more and silver could climb past dollar 40 these aren't just speculative numbers they're backed by historical patterns and current economic Trends here's something to think about what would it take for you to trust gold and silver over the dollar as a store of

value are these Metals truly the safe haven assets there may have to be let us know in the comments and don't forget to subscribe for more insights into the future of precious metals that kind of depends on the speed and the severity of the down move inequities you know if we get uh what was it August the 5th of last year was a Monday and the markets had been falling and we got I think mainly based off of Japan and the unwind of the Japanese carry trade you probably remember that people listen and remember

that and by the time the markets opened on Monday I think the S&P opened down down down down like a thousand S&P down 100 some odd points and in the middle of the night um for us during London hours gold fell a hundred bucks in like four hours because it was one of the few markets that was trading at that time of the day and if you needed liquidity there you go so if you get this really you know we start talking you know CNBC crisis in the markets that kind of stuff you know where the Dow's

down a couple thousand points a day for two or three days in a row well then you're getting margin calls you know and this liquidity concerns and everything gets thrown out you know if you're a hedge fund and you're levered up in equities and you've also got a you know a profitable position in a you know a 100 contracts of comx gold you need cash you're selling what you get what has a bid maybe what has a gain you're going to raise that cash meet your margin C and that's when everything just you know

just plumet if instead we get in more of a gradual decline then it's you know then it's more like people thinking on regalas well you know maybe maybe I should be rolling into gold here because this is showing the economy is going down the Fed so it really anyway long answer I'm just back to where I started um it really depends how how gold responds silver 2 in a General market pullback of 10 or 20% is going to be a function of how fast that that pullback rolls out a weakening US dollar

and the Relentless rise in National deficits two powerful forces that could supercharge the prices of gold and silver in 2025 let's break down why these factors are so critical and how they create the perfect environment for a precious metals rally first let's talk about the US dollar in 2024 the dollar showed signs of strength but as we enter 2025 The Tide is turning the US national debt is now surpassed do 37 trillion up from do 34 trillion just a year ago this massive debt load is eroding confidence

in the dollar as the world's Reserve currency historically when dead levels become unsustainable Nations often devalue their currency to keep their economies afloat and this is where gold and silver shine literally gold in particular is often seen as a hedge against currency devaluation when the dollar weakens gold prices typically rise as investors look for a stable store of value in fact analysts expect the dollar to face significant downward pressure throughout 2025 creating a Tailwind for precious

metals but the story doesn't end there the US government fiscal situation is adding fuel to the fire deficit spending has spiraled out of control the federal deficit hitting a staggering do 624 billion in just the first two months of the 2025 fiscal year to put that in perspective the monthly deficit in November 2024 loone was dollar 366 billion more than some Count's entire annual GDP how does this impact pressure Metals it's simple the more money the government prints to fund its deficit

the weaker the dollar becomes this Dynamic often leads to higher inflation further increasing demand for gold and silver is safe haven assets and let's not forget central banks AS Global confidence in dollar weighin these institutions are accelerating their shift gold and silver further propping up prices the stakes are high if the US continues on its current fiscal path some experts believe the dollar could lose as much as 10-15% as value by the end of 2025 meanwhile gold is expected to reach

doll 3,100 or more and silver could climb past $140 these aren't just speculative numbers they're backed by historical patterns and current economic Trends here's something to think about what would it take for you to trust gold and silver over the dollar as a store of value are these Metals truly the safe haven assets there made up to be let us know in the comments and don't forget to subscribe for more insights into the future precious metals little guy be damned we're you know uh Rising tide

floats all boats so we're just going to cut and QE and do all the stuff we've always done in the past regardless of what the inflation level is and so anyway this may seem like kind of a rambling answer to question but I think other analysts are drawing conclusion from in their own Niche area that they observe but it's kind of in line with what I'm seeing to and other people are say and these these these things all kind of line up to where I expect later this year now not the next fed meetings

in three weeks you know we may get jobs data on Friday that gets everybody all excited you know oh maybe they'll be start cutting Again by you know may or March or something I don't know um but I you know I'm I'm talking down the line from here here you know how you know how what's it going to look like by summer or fall you know what's the FED going to be doing then and you know and I'll give you one last thing Elijah I do you remember we've been doing this for so

long I maybe you do maybe you don't when I wrote my macroc cast for 2019 I called it 2010 +9 well the idea was that 2019 was going to look a lot like 2010 we began 2010 the Fed was saying oh oh yeah you know Bernan was saying that that QE thing was a oneoff we just had to do that I know we've never done it before but we had to do that to save the world with great financial Cris we're never doing that again you know the green shoots the economy where all this stuff right and then by November of 2010 here came QE2

and it was all you know well maybe we misspoke okay so as 2019 began it was a lot like this year you know the stock market began to tank in 2018 liquidity was drying up it was going straight down uh at the December fomc meeting of 2018 the Fed was projecting rate hikes in 2019 and we got to abide real quick well they quickly shifted tune in the first half of the year and we were cutting rates by June they were forecasting rate hikes but the First Rate cut came in June so in a way this could be 2010 plus 9 plus 6 because

it's you know it's not exact ly the same but it's similar and so like last year the market was convinced that there going to be all these rate cuts and they were wrong and you know all that stuff had to sort itself through as we went through the year right now the Market's convinced oh it maybe not be a rate cutting out till September June you know well we'll see about that you know it may not turn out exactly as everybody expects it never does history doesn't repeat itself but

it often Rhymes and when it comes to gold and silver past Trends offer invaluable insights into what we might expect in 2025 let's take a closer look at some key historical moments where economic shifts and monetary policies drove precious metals to new heights one of the clearest examples is the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis AS Global markets crumbled in central banks slashed interest rates gold surged from around 800 to over do 1,200 per ounce in just a year silver followed a similar trajectory climbing

from $111 to nearly $120 per ounce the Catalyst a combination of quantitative easing lower interest rates and a loss of confidence in traditional Financial system fast forward to 2019 a year marked by the federal reserves pivot from tightening to easing monetary policy by mid year rate Cuts were in full swing and precious metal took off gold rose nearly 19% while silver posted gains of over 30% by the end of 20020 a lesson year when central banks flood the system with liquidity and weakened the dollar crashes Metals

Thrive now consider where we stand in 2025 the economic setup is eerily similar to these historical precedents the US yield curve has just reverted after 2 years of inversion or reliable indicator of an impending recession Federal Reserve policies are expected to shift toward more aggressive rate cuts and central banks are hoarding gold at near record levels these are the exact conditions that have historically propelled gold in silver to unprecedented Highs but here's the kicker this time the stakes are even

higher unlike past Cycles today's global economy is grappling with unprecedented debt levels and geopolitical uncertainties the US national debt is ballooned to do 37 trillion and the Dollar's dominance as the world's Reserve currency is increasingly under scrutiny add to this the surging industrial demand for silver and you have a scenario that could make 2025 one of the most explosive years for precious metals there's a saying history is the best teacher so what can we learn from

these patterns well gold and silver followed the same upward trajectory as they did in 2008 and 2019 or will new variables like Central Bank demand and green energy Trends rewrite the script we'd love to hear your perspective do you think history is about to repeat itself or are we heading into Uncharted Territory for precious metals let us know in the comments and don't forget to subscribe for the next step in uncovering the 2,25 outlook for gold and silver why you know anything I try to do my part by you know adding

inventory for people to read and I and I think that's how you know people that are watching us right now should look at it you know Michael Oliver does a great job they should subscribe to his service and and get his newsletter you know I know chrisopher mullet I they're all I mean a lot of guys like me that that share their opinion and we all kind of have our Niche area in a way um and so I would encourage I mean this kind of the same C I tell people every year fine independent objective sources of

information and then take it all in and digest it and then think for yourself and discern from there where you know where you think things are headed I we all kind of see it going into the same place but from different angles and so maybe that's uh helps people kind of see the light a little bit you know a lot of the market concern is a liquidity issue you know and and I wrote about this in last year's macroc cast I wrote it again this year you know there used to be two and a half trillion dollar parked at the

FED in their reverse repo fund which is like excess reserves is what in you know fed pays interest on the excess reserves well they didn't want that money uh further in or uh messing with the yield curve and everything else and and so the mark the money was just kind of held there in 2023 actually got going in 2022 well Janet Yellen then decides that for the funding purposes of the federal government she's going to issue a whole bunch of treasury bills and soak that money up you get that money out of that

reverse repo and get it out into the economy get into the bond market and then from there it's loose and it can be go into stocks and provide liquidity for everything that reverse repo account now is down about 90% okay so where is that added liquidity going to come from and I think that's all part of what that's a part of the the piece of the puzzle for this year because again I the end of the day you know the FED talks a good game Powell likes to make himself seem like a man of the people you know and we're

worried about inflation you know all this kind of stuff but a choice will be made his back or whoever the head of the FED will be their back is going to be against the wall and they're going to have to decide between well we're going to kind of tow the line with austerity you know and not provide the funding for the government and all of the debt and the deficit and everything else uh and just just see what happens we're going to try to get inflation down for the average guy or we're going to say well

you know what everybody benefits from keeping this scheme going from funding the $2 trillion a year in deficits from U making sure there's liquidity for the capital markets and everything else so now let's talk numbers experts and analysts have been crunching the data and their price predictions for gold and silver in 2025 are nothing short of remarkable if these forecasts hold true this could be a record-breaking year for both medals so what are we looking at let's start with gold Goldman Sachs a leading voice

in the financial world has projected that gold could reach dollar 3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 other experts like craigm are even more bullish suggesting that prices could climb to do 3,100 or do 3,150 Under the right conditions what's driving these lofty numbers It's a combination of factors we've already discussed Central Bank demand anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts at a weakening dollar these elements create a perfect storm that could Propel gold prices to alltime highs now let's turn to Silver the metal

that many believe will outperform gold in 2025 analysts predict that silver could rise to as much as156 per ounce with more conservative estimates hovering around do 36 to $140 unlik gold silver has the added advantage of surging industrial demand particularly from the renewable energy sector solar panels alone could account for a significant portion of silver consumption in the coming year adding to its already strong investment appeal but here's what's truly fascinating silver is currently undervalue compared to Gold

the gold to Silver ratio which measures how many ounces of silver it takes to buy 1 ooun of gold remains historically high as silver prices catch up we could see a dramatic narrowing of this Gap amplifying returns for investors who get in early these predictions aren't just speculative they're grounded in hard Deb and historical Trends take 2024 as an example gold rose by 25% that year while silver climbed over 20% many analysts believe these gains were just the beginning setting the stage for even greater growth in

2025 of course no forecast is without risks price targets depend on numerous factors including the pace of Fed rate cuts the trajectory of inflation and resilience of the global economy but the consensus non experts is clear you're looking for assets with high potential in 2025 gold and silver are hard to beat so here's the question if gold hits1 3,100 in silver climbs to150 how would that change your investment strategy let us know your thoughts in the comments and don't forget to subscribe for more expert

insights into the future of precious metals it it's you know I was dead wrong last year about that I thought again we'd probably go sideways for the first six months of the year we went sideways only for the first two months of the year price took I thought price would take off by July price took off in March and then so it got way ahead of itself I thought we'd get to maybe 2,300 2350 and say we got to 2800 and finish the year as you said up 25% um so you now you look back historically and you try to see okay

what what is happened in previous years after that big of a rally typically another rally follows but not as much as that last one so I anything's on the table you know there's the world is so crazy these days um and If the Fed I mean what if by the end of the year Elijah what if inflation is Raging but the econom is in the toilet and by the December fomc meeting the FED is talking about yield curve control and renewed QE to try to keep the long end down to finance the government I mean all who knows what

we're I mean what the world's going to look like 10 or 11 months from now and if that's the case I mean gold could be 354,000 but I think a you know knowing what we know given the known at this point at least as I think they're unknowns uh the next move should take us about 10% higher past the old all-time high that's typically how it unfolds you can see that price kind of unfolding that way um as we move through 2024 so maybe that takes up to 3,100 3150 at some point later this year and

then you know maybe can continue to pull back and it kind of wait and see from there maybe finished year higher than that maybe finished year a little bit lower than that but again for precious metal stackers that's a that would be a pretty good year I mean we all get kind of caught up sometimes in the mining shares and what that does to sentiment of everybody because you know GDX was up 8% last year I me I thought they were supposed to outperform the medals but for the medals themselves they're doing

just fine and I would suspect they'll do just fine while the outlook for gold and silver in 20125 is undeniably exciting no investment story is without its challenges to make informed decisions it's crucial to understand the potential risks that could temper the optimism surrounding precious metals one major concern is profit-taking behavior after a strong run in 2024 some investors may decide to cash in on their gains especially if gold and silver prices approach their predicted highs this could lead to short-term

price Corrections creating volatility in the market for instance you're in last rast we've seen sharp pullbacks when prices hit psychological resistance levels such as dollar 3,000 for gold or doar 40 for silver another challenge is the global economic environment while recession seems likely based on historical indicators like the yield curve reversion there's always the possibility that the economy could stabilize or even grow against expectations if the Federal Reserve delays or minimizes its rate cuts it

could could reduce the appeal of gold and silver as safe haven assets a stronger than expected Dollar bolstered by economic resilience could also put downward pressure on precious metals geopolitical events could further complicate the picture while conflicts and uncertain there's often Drive demand for Safe Haven assets resolution of major disputes like the situation in Ukraine or trade tensions with China could shift investor sentiment away from precious metals in back toward equities or other asset classes on the industrial

side silver faces unique supply and demand risks while demand for green technologies is expected to remain strong disruptions in Supply chains or changes in technology could impact Silver's industrial applications similarly any slowdown in the renewable energy sector could temper Silver's momentum finally we have the role of Market m regulation historically silver has been one of the most heavily shorted Commodities large institutional players such as bullan banks have occasionally supressed prices to protect their short

positions while this doesn't negate Silver's long-term potential it's a factor that could create frustrating short-term volatility for investors so where does this leave us challenges and risks are an inherent part of any investment strategy but they also o create opportunities for long-term investors price dips caused by profit taking or volatility can present excellent buying opportunities and for those who stay informed understanding these risks allows for more strategic decision

making what's your take on these challenges are they enough to deter you from investing in gold and silver or do you see them as opportunities in Disguise let us know your thoughts in the comments and don't forget to subscribe to stay updated on the everchanging precious metals Market these things in December and I start compiling charts that I think get an idea of the direction I think I'm going then I though gosh for my my adult ADHD to sit down and actually pour energy you know four hours

at a time five hours at a time into writing the thing is just exhausting and for what right I mean the things I get right people are like well anybody could have seen that coming and the stuff I get wrong everybody's like what an idiot this guy is he actually thought you know um and so that's why but that is why I do it so that I can because invariably I'm going to get stuff wrong and I want to know why I got it wrong I want to be able to go back and look and uh try to discern you know what I was thinking at

the time and why I got it wrong if I can't and so when I look back at last year you know we entered last year um everybody was all hyped up the markets were thinking maybe six or seven rate cuts and uh the Fed was saying No Maybe more like three so I figured there'd be this kind of a tough period before the FED actually started cutting I thought they'd do it by July they did it in September I thought that would be the driver uh looking back though now that wasn't the case the driver seems to have

been Central Bank demand as the main thing that underpinned uh the derivative price you know yeah these big positions get built up on comx for both the speculators and the banks but we never had a big wash out we had these periods of consolidation but we never really got shoved backward and I think that Central Bank demand underpins the price and it seems to be continuing um China stepped back up after taking allegedly taking six months off uh with five metric tons in November then 10 in December so if

this this trend of uh Central Bank demand physical demand underpinning the price buying all the dips um that should help promote a good year this year so we're back to watching fed see what they will do um I called the thing inversion reversion because I think the key indicator is the yield curve which had been inverted for two and a half years but now it's reverted back to an upwardly positive sloping curve where the 10year yield is higher than the two-year and that's historically when

the recession actually Begins the inversion predicts a recession is coming but if you look at the charts that the FED puts out the last six or seven or sessions have followed that inversion reversion and that's what's now happened the 10e notes about 40 bases points higher than the two-year note so I'm basing this whole forecast on the fact that the FED is going to be wrong economy is not as strong as they think it is they're going to be cutting more than just the 50 basis points they're

expecting that combined with this ongoing Central Bank demand and what else is coming at us this year Elijah I think makes for a pretty strong year for the precious medals so where does all this lead us let's connect the dots and answer the big question why are gold and silver poised to soar in 2025 first consider the foundation central banks are buying gold at near record levels driven by a desire to diversify away from the weakening US dollar this demand creates a floor under gold prices preventing significant drops

and setting the stage for State growth add in Silver's dual role as a safe haven asset in the critical component in green technologies and the case for both Metals becomes even stronger then look at the Federal Reserve the anticipated rate cuts of 50 basis points might just be the beginning with the US economy showing signs of strain and the yield curve signaling an impending recession deeper cuts are not just possible but likely these actions will further weaken the dollar amplify inflationary concerns and

fontal more investors into gold and silver as Hedges against economic instability the US fiscal situation only strengthens the argument a national debt exceeding dollar to 37 trillion coupled with skyrocketing deficits pains a picture of long-term economic vulnerability historically when confidence in fat currencies wains gold and silver have been the ultimate safe havens now add Silver's unique industrial demand into the mix the renewable energy Revolution is not slowing down and silver is critical for

Technologies like solar panels and electric vehicles with Supply chains already strained and above ground silver inventory is depleting it's hard to see a scenario where silver doesn't experience significant price growth but let's not ignore the risks yes profit taking Market manipulation or unexpected economic resilience could create turbulence at for long-term investors these challenges represent opportunities to buy on dips and secure positions before the next rally so work could this

all lead analysts credit gold could surpass 13,100 per ounce while silver might climb to $1450 or even higher by the end of the year these aren't just numbers they reflect the perfect storm of monetary policy shifts economic vulnerabilities and Industrial trends that make 20 2 a potentially historic year for precious metals let me leave you with this what role do gold and silver play in your portfolio are you prepared to capitalize on what could be one of the most explosive years for precious metals in

recent history share your thoughts in the comments hit that subscribe button and remember this is not Financial advice just the facts and insights you need to make your own informed decisions